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Search event

Will the EU open a formal regulatory investigation against a major tech company under the AI Act before December 31 2026?

75%
25%

The EU AI Act, one of the world's most comprehensive artificial intelligence regulatory frameworks, entered its key enforcement phases in 2025–2026. The regulation applies to providers of General Purpose AI models and high-risk AI systems. As enforcement infrastructure matures, the likelihood of formal regulatory proceedings against major tech companies — such as Google, OpenAI, Meta, or Microsoft — is increasing. This market asks whether at least one formal investigation will be officially opened before the end of 2026.

Technology

Conditions

Resolves "Yes" if the European Commission or a designated EU national authority officially opens a formal regulatory investigation against any major technology company (including but not limited to Google, OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, Apple) under the AI Act framework, with a public announcement confirming the investigation, before December 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise — "No".

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