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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 2

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Step 3

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After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Belarus introduce reforms to ease prison sentences or release political prisoners in 2025?

50%

50%

Human rights groups frequently call for the release of political prisoners in Belarus. This market forecasts whether any reform will be introduced to reduce sentences or grant amnesty in 2025.

Politics

Conditions

Resolves to 'Yes' if any official reform or mass amnesty leads to the release of at least 10 political prisoners in Belarus in 2025. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

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