Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will Kazakhstan amend its Constitution to define marriage exclusively as a union between a man and a woman?

33%
67%

A proposal to constitutionally define marriage as a union between a man and a woman has gained momentum in Kazakhstan. The initiative was formally raised within the Constitutional Commission and has also been publicly supported by President Tokaev, who called for strengthening the institution of marriage in law while stressing that no criminal penalties should apply for dissenting views.

Kazakhstan

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, Kazakhstan officially adopts a constitutional amendment explicitly defining marriage as a voluntary union between a man and a woman, confirmed by enacted constitutional text or official government publications. Otherwise — “No.”

Comments

U
No comments yet
Similar Events

Similar Events

event

Will Barys be forced to play without Alikhan Omirbekov in the coming weeks?

94%
6%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan's national team win at least one gold medal at the 2026 Olympic Games?

29%
71%
Until the end
event

Will Lukoil exit its Kazakhstan assets by the U.S. deadline?

40%
60%
Until the end
event

Will the Soyuz launch pad at Baikonur be fully ready for its first launch by the end of winter 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan face major heating plant accidents in January and February 2026?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will Kazakhstan’s new $1B state crypto fund reshape the country’s financial future by 2026?

72%
28%
Until the end
event

Will independent political candidacy be banned in Kazakhstan before March 2026?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will the fight between Rakhmonov and Buckley be officially announced by the UFC by March 31, 2026?

77%
23%
Until the end
event

Will Kazatomprom remain Kazakhstan’s largest publicly traded company through March 31, 2026?

33%
67%
Until the end
event

Will Kaisar Kamza be detained or formally charged in Kazakhstan?

91%
9%
Until the end
event

Will Russia and Kazakhstan sign a final agreement to build the Ulken nuclear plant by early 2026?

80%
20%
Until the end
event

Will any regional governor (oblysy äkim) be removed or replaced in Kazakhstan before Q1 2026?

60%
40%
Until the end
event

Will the Venezuela crisis materially impact Kazakhstan’s oil sector in 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end
event

Will Russia take formal political or economic retaliatory measures against Kazakhstan over its NATO-aligned military production by March 30, 2026?

75%
25%
Until the end
event

Will the Kazakh tenge really strengthen to 500 per dollar by the end of Q1 2026?

25%
75%
Until the end