Will crypto adoption in Iran continue accelerating in early 2026?
Event ended
79%
21%
Data from Chainalysis show a sharp rise in crypto activity in Iran amid the rial’s collapse, high inflation, and nationwide protests. Transfers from exchanges to personal wallets surged across all transaction sizes, signaling increased use of crypto — especially bitcoin — as a financial refuge during instability.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if by February 28, 2026, Chainalysis or other major analytics firms confirm continued elevated crypto activity in Iran (e.g., sustained on-chain volumes or wallet activity above pre-protest levels), as reported by major international media. Otherwise — No.
Results
Chainalysis and other major on-chain analytics confirmed that Iran’s crypto ecosystem continued to expand and show elevated activity in the run-up to early 2026, with on-chain volumes and wallet activity materially above pre-protest baseline levels. Therefore, the market condition was met.
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