Step 1

Choose Where You Stand

Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

Confirm Your Entry

Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Hamnet win the 2026 Academy Award for Best Picture?

25%

75%

The AFI Top 10 Films of 2025 strongly overlaps with future Oscar nominations — in recent years, 8 of 10 AFI-selected films went on to be nominated for Best Picture. Among the 2025 selections, Hamnet stands out as one of the most compelling Oscar contenders. Adapted from Maggie O’Farrell’s acclaimed novel, Hamnet combines prestige literary roots, emotional storytelling, period drama appeal, and Academy-friendly themes of grief, art, and legacy. These elements historically align with voters’ preferences for Best Picture winners (e.g., The King’s Speech, Nomadland, Moonlight). With strong positioning on the awards circuit and early critical momentum, Hamnet emerges as a frontrunner for the Oscars.

Culture

Conditions

Resolves to “Yes” if Hamnet is officially announced as the Best Picture winner at the 2026 Academy Awards during the ceremony. Otherwise — NO.

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