Will Avatar: Fire and Ash reach $2 billion in global box office by March 31, 2026?
The third installment of James Cameron’s Avatar franchise has opened at the top of the North American box office, earning $88 million in the U.S. and Canada and an additional $257 million internationally. While the domestic debut came in below some industry forecasts and trailed Avatar: The Way of Water, the film once again demonstrated the franchise’s heavy reliance on international markets and long theatrical legs — especially during the holiday season and in premium 3D formats. Previous Avatar films ultimately surpassed $2 billion each worldwide, despite mixed early expectations.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if, on or before March 31, 2026, Avatar: Fire and Ash surpasses $2.0 billion in cumulative global box office revenue, as reported by official data from The Walt Disney Company, Bloomberg, or widely cited box-office trackers (e.g., Box Office Mojo). Otherwise — No.
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