Step 1

Choose Where You Stand

Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.

Step 2

Confirm Your Entry

Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.

Step 3

Get Your Reward

After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will at least 8 of the AFI Top 10 films be nominated for Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?

50%

50%

The American Film Institute (AFI) has released its annual list of the 10 most outstanding films of 2025 — a list widely regarded as a strong predictor of future Oscar nominations. In both 2023 and 2024, 8 of the 10 AFI-selected films went on to receive Academy Award nominations for Best Picture. AFI’s 2025 Top 10 includes: Avatar: Flame and Ash Battle After Battle Bugonia Hamnet Sinners Jay Kelly Wicked: Part 2 Marty the Magnificent Train Dreams Frankenstein Additionally, Jafar Panahi’s A Simple Accident received a special AFI award.

Culture

Conditions

Resolves to “Yes” if 8 or more films from AFI’s 2025 Top 10 appear among the Best Picture nominees announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences for the 2026 Oscars. Otherwise — NO.

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