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Search event

Will at least 8 of the AFI Top 10 films be nominated for Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?

Event ended
7%
93%

The American Film Institute (AFI) has released its annual list of the 10 most outstanding films of 2025 — a list widely regarded as a strong predictor of future Oscar nominations. In both 2023 and 2024, 8 of the 10 AFI-selected films went on to receive Academy Award nominations for Best Picture. AFI’s 2025 Top 10 includes: Avatar: Flame and Ash Battle After Battle Bugonia Hamnet Sinners Jay Kelly Wicked: Part 2 Marty the Magnificent Train Dreams Frankenstein Additionally, Jafar Panahi’s A Simple Accident received a special AFI award.

Culture

Conditions

Resolves to “Yes” if 8 or more films from AFI’s 2025 Top 10 appear among the Best Picture nominees announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences for the 2026 Oscars. Otherwise — NO.

Results

Fewer than 8 films from the AFI Top 10 (2025) were nominated for Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars. Therefore, the market condition was not met.

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