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Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Kazakhstan record a case of the Nipah virus in 2026?

75%
25%

Kazakhstan has tightened border health controls after a Nipah virus outbreak in India, focusing on travelers from South and Southeast Asia. Authorities report no detected cases so far, and say the epidemiological situation remains stable. The risk remains meaningful: about 10,000 Indian students study in Kazakhstan, and there is no vaccine or specific treatment for Nipah. Medical services are on high alert, with added coordination with Russia due to cross-border transit. The key question is whether enhanced screening can fully prevent importation, as even a single case would trigger major public-health measures.

Kazakhstan

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by April 30, 2026, Kazakhstan officially confirms at least one imported or locally detected case of Nipah virus infection, as reported by the Ministry of Health or major international health media. Otherwise — “No.”

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