Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

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Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will the Democratic Party hold at least 51 US Senate seats after the November 2026 elections?

67%
33%

The US midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, with 35 of 100 Senate seats contested. Forecasters currently project a chamber close to an even split, with control potentially decided by the Vice President's tie-breaking vote rather than by an outright majority. This market evaluates whether Democrats will secure 51 or more seats.

Politics

Conditions

Resolves "Yes" if senators who are members of, or formally caucus with, the Democratic Party hold 51 or more of the 100 seats in the United States Senate at the convening of the 120th Congress on January 3, 2027, according to the official party division published by senate.gov. Otherwise — "No".

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