
Will the Democratic Party hold at least 51 US Senate seats after the November 2026 elections?
The US midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, with 35 of 100 Senate seats contested. Forecasters currently project a chamber close to an even split, with control potentially decided by the Vice President's tie-breaking vote rather than by an outright majority. This market evaluates whether Democrats will secure 51 or more seats.
Conditions
Resolves "Yes" if senators who are members of, or formally caucus with, the Democratic Party hold 51 or more of the 100 seats in the United States Senate at the convening of the 120th Congress on January 3, 2027, according to the official party division published by senate.gov. Otherwise — "No".
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