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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Meta lay off 20% or more of its workforce due to its AI restructuring plans?

75%
25%

Reports suggest that Meta Platforms may be considering large-scale layoffs as it accelerates investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure. According to sources cited in media coverage, the potential cuts could affect 20% or more of the company’s workforce. Executives have reportedly been instructed to prepare staffing reduction plans while the company allocates substantial resources toward AI development, including recruiting top AI researchers and building new data centers. CEO Mark Zuckerberg has emphasized artificial intelligence as a core strategic priority. Meta previously conducted major layoffs during the so-called “year of efficiency” in 2022–2023, when more than 21,000 employees were dismissed as part of a broader restructuring. The company is also reportedly planning long-term investments of up to $600 billion in data center infrastructure by 2028 to support AI systems. At the same time, some AI initiatives — including models such as Llama 4 and Avocado — have reportedly faced development challenges, increasing pressure to optimize costs and workforce structure. The uncertainty lies in whether Meta will actually implement layoffs at the scale suggested in the reports, or whether the company will limit reductions to smaller restructuring measures.

Economics
Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by December 31, 2026, Meta Platforms publicly confirms layoffs affecting at least 20% of its global workforce, based on official announcements, regulatory filings, or widely reported data by major financial media. Otherwise — “No.”

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