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Search event

Will Middle Eastern countries rapidly scale defense deals with European startups?

60%
40%

The war around Iran is accelerating a shift in defense procurement across the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, with governments increasingly turning to European startups instead of traditional defense giants. Driven by rising drone threats, urgency, and supply bottlenecks, deals now involve large-scale orders and faster timelines, with more local partnerships. Most likely, startups will quickly move from niche players to key suppliers in real conflict zones.

Geopolitics
Technology

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, there are at least two publicly confirmed contracts between European defense startups and Middle Eastern governments that involve: large-scale delivery (e.g. hundreds or thousands of interceptor missiles, drones, or defense systems) or officially announced partnerships/deployments tied to active defense needs Otherwise — “No.”

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