Step 1
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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
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To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.
Search event

Will “Young Sherlock” become one of Prime Video’s most-watched series by the end of 2026?

25%
75%

The new series Young Sherlock, created by Guy Ritchie, has generated massive early interest. Its trailer reportedly reached over 223 million views in seven days, marking one of the strongest promotional launches in the history of Amazon Prime Video. Early critical reception has also been strong, with the series reportedly earning around 86% on Rotten Tomatoes, higher than the 2009 Sherlock Holmes film starring Robert Downey Jr.. However, strong trailer numbers and early reviews do not always translate into sustained streaming success. The key uncertainty is whether the show’s viewership will remain high enough to rank among Prime Video’s most popular releases.

Culture

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by December 31, 2026, Young Sherlock is officially reported by Amazon, Amazon Prime Video, or widely cited industry analytics (e.g., Nielsen streaming rankings) as one of the top 10 most-watched Prime Video series released in 2026. Otherwise — “No.”

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