Will the U.S. formalize a long-term Bitcoin strategic reserve policy?
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The United States has decided to retain confiscated Bitcoin — including assets seized from Samourai Wallet — and add them to a strategic reserve, according to statements attributed to the administration of Donald Trump. The move signals a shift away from liquidating seized crypto toward treating Bitcoin as a long-term strategic asset. The question is whether this ad-hoc decision becomes formal policy.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if by June 30, 2026, the U.S. government codifies or publicly formalizes a policy to maintain seized Bitcoin in a strategic reserve (e.g., executive guidance, Treasury/DOJ policy memo, or official reserve reporting), confirmed by government releases or major financial media. Otherwise — No.
Results
The United States formally established a long-term Bitcoin strategic reserve policy via Executive Order signed by President Trump on March 6, 2025. The order mandated that all Bitcoin seized through federal criminal and civil forfeiture proceedings be consolidated into a permanent Strategic Bitcoin Reserve managed by the Treasury Department, with a strict prohibition on selling any of the holdings. The policy was confirmed by a White House Fact Sheet and reported by Reuters, Bloomberg, and CNBC. As of June 30, 2026, the reserve held approximately 328,372 BTC valued at roughly $25 billion, making the U.S. the world's largest sovereign Bitcoin holder. Additionally, in May 2026, the American Reserve Modernization Act (ARMA) was introduced to codify the reserve framework into legislation with a mandatory 20-year holding period.
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