
Will the U.S. begin selling Venezuelan oil to Russia or China in 2026?
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U.S. President Donald Trump said the United States is open to selling Venezuelan oil to Russia and China, signaling a major shift in sanctions enforcement and energy policy toward Venezuela. U.S. officials have framed the plan as part of a multi-stage process to restart Venezuelan production, with proceeds routed through U.S.-controlled accounts.
Conditions
Resolves “Yes” if by April 30, 2026, verifiable shipments of Venezuelan crude sold by or through U.S.-authorized channels are delivered to Russia or China, confirmed by government statements, shipping data, or major international media. Otherwise — No.
Results
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated on February 12, 2026, that China has already bought some Venezuelan crude oil sold by the US government.
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