Will the Bab el-Mandeb Strait face disruption affecting global oil markets?

The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is a critical route for global energy flows, linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. Around 12% of global oil trade passes through it. Amid rising tensions involving Iran and Iran-aligned groups such as the Houthis, officials warn that any blockade or disruption could trigger a major shock to global energy markets. Key risks include: - escalation of conflict in the Red Sea region - attacks on shipping or temporary closure of the strait - sharp increases in oil prices and supply disruptions However, a full blockade would carry major geopolitical consequences and could provoke international military responses. The key uncertainty is whether threats will materialize into actual disruption of maritime traffic.