Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Hong Kong’s IPO market sustain its revival into early 2026?

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Hong Kong’s primary market is showing clear signs of recovery. According to Reuters, several Chinese companies that raised nearly $900 million in recent Hong Kong IPOs posted strong first-day gains, reflecting renewed investor appetite for Asian listings. In 2025, newly listed stocks on Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing rose ~40% on average, with 119 IPOs raising HK$285.8 billion ($36.7 billion). A strong pipeline of AI, robotics, and semiconductor listings is already lined up for early 2026, reinforcing Hong Kong’s comeback as a regional IPO hub.

Markets

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, by March 31, 2026, Hong Kong records at least 20 new IPOs, total fundraising of HK$40 billion ($5+ billion) or more, and/or average first-day gains of 15% or higher, as confirmed by HKEX statistics or Reuters reporting. Otherwise — No.

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