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Search event

Will gold prices break above $4,700 per ounce amid rising geopolitical tensions?

Event ended
17%
83%

Gold has surged to fresh all-time highs above $4,500 per ounce as investors seek safe-haven assets amid escalating tensions between the United States and Venezuela, alongside expectations of further U.S. rate cuts that weaken the dollar and support precious metals.

Markets

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if, on or before March 31, 2026, front-month gold futures on COMEX trade at or above $4,700 per troy ounce, as confirmed by CME pricing data or reporting from Reuters, Bloomberg, or major commodities market sources. Otherwise — No.

Results

Gold futures on COMEX never traded at or above $4,700 per ounce before March 31, 2026.

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