Step 1
Choose Where You Stand
Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

You can place your prediction only once and in one direction.
Step 2
Confirm Your Entry
Select your stake — from 1 to 100 USDC.

To participate, simply register and top up your balance with USDC — a stable digital currency pegged to the US dollar.

Once the event begins or concludes, predictions are automatically closed.
Step 3
Get Your Reward
After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

All submitted predictions form a shared pool.

A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will Clear Street achieve a valuation of at least $12 billion at its IPO?

Event ended
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Clear Street — a fast-growing brokerage central to the rise of “crypto-treasury” financing — is preparing for a major IPO that could value the firm between $10–12 billion, according to the Financial Times. Founded in 2018, the company became known for underwriting equity and debt deals that enabled public firms to raise capital and convert it into large Bitcoin purchases, including Michael Saylor’s Strategy, which amassed 650,000 BTC partly through Clear Street. However, the IPO comes at a turbulent moment: Bitcoin is down 30% since October, and Strategy’s stock has fallen 60%, with analysts warning that crypto-treasury companies are entering a “Darwinian phase” as leverage-driven growth models face mounting pressure.

Cryptocurrency
Markets

Conditions

Resolves to “Yes” if Clear Street’s IPO pricing — as officially reported in SEC filings, the company’s press releases, or reputable financial media (FT, WSJ, Bloomberg, Reuters) — shows a valuation of $12 billion or higher at the time of listing. Otherwise — NO.

Results

Clear Street’s IPO did not achieve a valuation of $12 billion or higher, as confirmed by official filings and reputable financial media. Therefore, the market condition was not met.

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