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Select an event from politics, economics, technology, sports, or culture.

Each event offers two possible outcomes: “YES” or “NO”.

Choose the outcome you believe will happen.

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Step 2
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Step 3
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After the event ends, the system determines the correct outcome.

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A 10% fee is deducted, and the remaining amount is distributed among participants who made the correct prediction — proportionally to their stake.

Will UFC White House generate a financial profit for the UFC?

80%
20%

The UFC White House event, scheduled for June 14 to mark the 250th anniversary of U.S. independence, is projected to cost more than $60 million. TKO Group COO Mark Shapiro indicated that the company expects to recover roughly half of the investment, acknowledging that the event is primarily reputational rather than profit-driven. UFC President Dana White has described the event as a legacy project rather than a revenue-focused initiative. While organizers aim to offset costs through media exposure, partnerships, and long-term audience growth, the upfront expenses — including fighter contracts and fan festival operations — are expected to be substantial. The uncertainty lies in whether commercial partnerships, broadcast value, and related revenue streams can fully offset the unusually high production costs — or whether the event results in a net financial loss.

Finance
MMA
Sports

Conditions

Resolves “Yes” if by September 30, 2026, TKO Group, UFC, or official earnings disclosures confirm that total direct revenue from the June 14, 2026 UFC White House event exceeded its total event-related costs. Otherwise — “No.”

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